Check historical price trends and seasonality for S&P/ASX 200 Index (^AXJO).
S&P/ASX 200 Index (^AXJO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +5.38%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 17 for 60 days) is -4.03%.
3 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 37.50%.
1) Overview:
The S&P/ASX 200 Index exhibits a clear bullish tendency in the first two months of the year, peaking around February 16 with a gain of +2.0%. A significant bearish phase follows, starting in late February and extending through early April, with a notable low around March 23 at -2.9%. The index then recovers and consolidates through the remainder of the year, culminating in a strong bullish surge in December, particularly around December 28 (+6.0%) and December 31 (+5.3%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears in March, with the index tending to decline significantly, reaching a low around March 23. This pullback likely stems from profit-taking after the early year rally and potentially due to global economic uncertainties. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in early April, as the index continues to show negative tendencies through April 7 (-2.0%). The index tends to rebound strongly from these lows, particularly in late April and May.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to the S&P/ASX 200 Index involves capitalizing on the weakness in March. Investors might consider establishing positions or adding to existing holdings around March 23, anticipating a subsequent rally. The strong positive seasonality in December, especially around December 28, indicates a potential exit point for short-term gains or a period to reassess portfolio allocation.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-17 | 8,310.4004 | 2025-03-17 | 7,854.1001 | -456.3003 | -5.49 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-17 | 7,393.1001 | 2024-03-16 | 7,670.2998 | 277.1997 | 3.75 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-17 | 7,386.2998 | 2023-03-17 | 6,994.7998 | -391.5000 | -5.30 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-17 | 7,417.2998 | 2022-03-17 | 7,250.7998 | -166.5000 | -2.24 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-17 | 7,064.1001 | 2020-03-16 | 5,002.0000 | -2,062.1001 | -29.19 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-17 | 5,850.1001 | 2019-03-17 | 6,175.2002 | 325.1001 | 5.56 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-17 | 6,015.7998 | 2018-03-17 | 5,949.3999 | -66.3999 | -1.10 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-17 | 5,699.3999 | 2017-03-17 | 5,799.6001 | 100.2002 | 1.76 |
| Avg | 6,892.0625 | 6,587.0250 | -305.04 | -4.03 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.79% | Feb Total -0.94% | Mar Total -1.24% | Apr Total +2.47% | May Total +0.56% | Jun Total +0.34% | Jul Total +2.73% | Aug Total +0.15% | Sep Total -1.76% | Oct Total -0.14% | Nov Total +2.30% | Dec Total +0.83% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.26% | +0.38% | +0.41% | -0.38% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.49% | -0.15% | +0.29% | +0.24% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.36% | +0.17% | -0.16% | -0.10% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -0.42% | -0.02% | -0.20% | -0.03% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.45% | +0.37% | -0.26% | +0.11% | +0.42% | +0.16% | -0.28% | -0.08% | -0.04% | +0.27% | +0.10% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.41% | +0.26% | -0.33% | -0.26% | -0.06% | +0.27% | +0.53% | +0.24% | -0.40% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.18% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.14% | -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.17% | +0.08% | -0.05% | -0.39% | +0.18% | +0.40% | +0.08% | -0.09% |
| 6 Avg -0.05% | -0.39% | -0.15% | -0.15% | +0.45% | -0.30% | -0.11% | -0.30% | +0.05% | -0.19% | +0.17% | +0.26% | +0.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.07% | +0.31% | +0.14% | -0.14% | -0.44% | +0.22% | +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.23% | +0.20% | +0.44% | +0.25% |
| 8 Avg +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.26% | -0.11% | +0.32% | +0.19% | +0.02% | -0.28% | +0.08% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.13% | +0.24% |
| 9 Avg -0.03% | +0.41% | -0.37% | -0.48% | +0.24% | -0.12% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.31% | -0.51% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.11% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | -0.18% | -0.06% | +0.17% | +0.66% | +0.20% | -0.08% | -0.04% | +0.13% | +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.32% | -0.41% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.73% | -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.26% | +0.30% | +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.12% | +0.50% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg -0.05% | +0.13% | -0.11% | -0.73% | +0.10% | -0.44% | -0.26% | +0.23% | +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.20% |
| 13 Avg +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.10% | +0.28% | +0.12% | +0.11% | +0.16% | +0.45% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.46% | +0.10% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.62% | -0.20% | -0.45% | +0.17% | +0.24% | -0.04% | +0.32% | -0.29% | +0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.40% | -0.18% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.34% | +0.21% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.25% | -0.27% |
| 16 Avg +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.47% | -0.84% | -0.21% | +0.36% | +0.51% | -0.22% | +0.01% | +0.18% | +0.20% | -0.03% | +0.01% |
| 17 Avg +0.04% | -0.10% | -0.26% | +0.89% | +0.19% | -0.10% | -0.17% | +0.17% | -0.20% | -0.18% | -0.06% | +0.01% | +0.29% |
| 18 Avg -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.12% | -0.59% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +0.09% | +0.18% | -0.03% | -0.19% | +0.14% | -0.09% | -0.19% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | +0.28% | -0.14% | -0.40% | +0.05% | -0.25% | +0.22% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 20 Avg +0.00% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.07% | -0.25% | +0.61% | +0.27% | +0.22% | +0.09% | -0.11% | -0.17% | -0.13% | -0.33% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.08% | +0.18% | -0.12% | +0.04% | -0.15% | +0.25% | -0.16% | -0.31% | +0.06% | -0.26% | +0.11% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.05% | +0.09% | -0.04% | -0.15% | +0.02% | -0.11% | -0.10% | +0.13% | -0.29% | +0.37% | +0.12% |
| 23 Avg 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.15% | -0.79% | +0.30% | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.26% | -0.20% | +0.27% | +0.24% |
| 24 Avg 0.00% | +0.18% | -0.86% | +0.43% | +0.29% | -0.25% | -0.22% | -0.09% | +0.18% | -0.24% | +0.12% | +0.29% | +0.12% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.55% | 0.00% | +0.42% | -0.10% | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.10% | -0.07% | +0.21% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.49% | +0.27% | -0.35% | +0.18% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.19% | -0.16% | -0.19% | -0.23% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.05% | -0.25% | -0.11% | -0.44% | +0.05% | +0.26% | +0.25% | +0.29% | +0.11% | +0.08% | -0.19% | +0.15% | +0.36% |
| 28 Avg +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.38% | +0.35% | +0.30% | +0.21% | +0.17% | -0.16% | +0.04% | -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.04% | +0.27% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | - | -0.05% | +0.47% | -0.32% | -0.10% | +0.26% | -0.23% | +0.28% | -0.25% | +0.06% | -0.01% |
| 30 Avg +0.07% | -0.06% | - | +0.83% | +0.26% | +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.05% | +0.41% | -0.22% | -0.18% | -0.25% | -0.12% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | -0.02% | - | -0.15% | - | -0.19% | - | -0.05% | -0.04% | - | +0.15% | - | -0.52% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
